The counter-insurgency effort in Afghanistan is under serious strain. More U.S. troops are to be sent there in the near future to stem the tide of insurgent attacks on U.S., U.N. and NATO forces. Based on what I’m reading, the war thus far has been mis-managed. A strategic overhaul is needed. I don’t think that securing the entire country should be the objective. A region should be secured and helped to prosper. This region will become the template for others to duplicate on their own. I describe this effort in three strategic objectives:
Strategic objective #1 – Deny the enemy the the Northern Afghan-Pakistan border and abundant food sources while using the natural terrain to protect against large scale attacks by concentrating all U.S troops in the North and North-East region from Mazari Sharif to Jalalabad.
Keep a highly visible and well-supported presence in the border region. Judicious use of observation platforms (UAVs, satellite imagery, etc.) should reveal where the insurgents are crossing the border so that ground assaults could be coordinated and effective with minimal civilian impact. Naturally the military would not be able to attack every group crossing, but knowing where they are would allow intel to pick and choose valuable targets. Somewhat like a counter-insurgency using insurgency tactics.
-Setup large bases (Brigade strength) just outside the major population centers in proximity to large airstrips (Mazari Sharif, Qonduz, Kabul, Jalalabad) that also can be used for local militia and police training.
Larger bases near regional airports would reduce the distance that supplies need to be hauled across the country-side. The U.S. military should actively monitor likely ambush areas along the supply lines and randomly target and eliminate ambush teams (lured by dummy convoys) with ground forces and close air-support.
-Setup smaller bases (Batallion strength) strategically in the regions surrounding Mazari Sharif all along the Northern and North-Eastern borders. These should be provisioned for sustained engagements against a well armed enemy and serve as the base of operations for hundreds of Squads that would patrol the areas between the bases, the Pakistan border, and along the main supply routes.
-Reduce the primary use of UAVs to reconnaissance platforms. UAV strikes should be limited to close air-support for ground forces.
Strategic objective #2 – Frequent and productive face-to-face contact with individual clans/villages to win and build trust.
-Supplement miltary base food supplies with food purchased locally at market prices
-Teach building techniques and assist with the construction of appropriate shelter (especially for the monsoon and Winter seasons) with indigeneous materials.
Strategic objective #3 – Create an environment where trans-national and non-governmental organizations can work safely with the native population to build social and physical infrastructure enabling
-Access to medical-aid
-Construction of schools
-Massive literacy effort
-Build industrial infrastructure
Creating this environment across all of Afghanistan would require a commitment of resources that the U.S. should not be under taking at this time. Creating a region where business flourishes and citizens prosper, however, would be a great incentive for the Afghans to take on the defense of their newfound prosperity against the re-emergence of fundamentalist extremism and one that other regions of the country could look to for guidance in governance and rebuilding.